Monday, April 16, 2007

Infosys a Safe bet for next 1 year - Nishit Vadhavkar

The Infosys results have been declared and the annual ritual of the next year guidance also has been given.

The guidance for the next year has been pegged at rs 82-83.

Infosys always beats its own guidance by a long margin. Taking a minimum 1 year view of the stock, at this time next year, a price target of Rs 3000 looks very realistic. That is assuming Infosys gives Fy09 guidance at 20 pc.

20 pc guidance for next year should not be too difficult for a company like Infosys which has moved into Consulting, its china operations have broken even.


Infosys may not be hot stock it once was, but as long as it continues delivering steady numbers, it should occupy a a sizeable chunk of one's portfolio.

I flex yesterday touched Rs 2360, a far cry from the open ofer price of Rs 2100. As I mentioned earlier, I flex is like opening a fixed deposit, there is virtually no down side.


In last week of December when recommended to to convert major part of portfolio into I-Flex it was trading at Rs 1880. A gain of 25 pc risk free.

The easy days of the bull market are over now. It is a stock pickers market. Over the next 1 year, its time to be very cautious.


I am still bearish on the markets and would wait at sidelines with i flex and cash and wait for the UP election results to come through.
1 more CRR hike seems to be on the anvil.

1 comment:

KKP Investor said...

We should be a bit more concerned if we get an entire quarter of an appreciated Rupee. In Jan-Mar quarter, we had quite a fluctuation but the net effect was small. With the Rupee at 42 to a dollar, it may have a bigger impact.

KKP

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